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March 5, 2006
A Crash at the Oscars
Stewart, some surprises and cinema collages make for a good show

March 5 - At a ceremony that celebrated numerous films instead of a lone powerhouse, Crash surprised many with the Best Picture award. It won three awards, as did Brokeback Mountain considered the favorite for Best Picture going in. Also winning three awards apiece were Memoirs of a Geisha and King Kong, though in technical categories. Reese Witherspoon and Philip Seymour Hoffman won the top acting prizes and the sole awards for their respective films Walk the Line and Capote. Unlike most years, none of the acting awards went to performances from the Best Picture. Neither did the Best Director with Ang Lee winning.

In addition to Crash's win, there was one other surprise, "It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from Hustle & Flow as Original Song and that film's only Oscar. With that live performance, somewhere out there is a smarmy producer thinking Hustle & Flow: The Musical.

As for the telecast and John Stewart's performance, I enjoyed this year more than most. He was calm and comfortable. I thought his opening monologue was so-so, but redeemed by many witty one-liners and observations throughout the ceremony. I seem to recall previous hosts largely disappearing after the intro. Stewart stayed center stage with lines like "finger-synching," "dreidel-off," and "Scorsese: zero. Three 6 Mafia: one." His approach was to sustain the comedy. The opening video segment was short and sweet, leaving room for those fake commercial bits later on. Stewart proved he can adapt to any room, even the stuffy Academy.

The tributes to various themes in cinema were also a home run. Why not use the forum to remind us of all the great scenes put on film? The clips and celebration of film Noir, blockbusters, societal issues and biographies were educational. Hit up your netflix list now for some older releases.

What worked?
John Stewart, Steve Martin's kids, film clips of gay cowboys, the classic cinema tributes, Clooney's speech, wins for Crash and Three 6 Mafia, the fake commercials

What didn't?
Bjork joke (long way to go to get at Cheney), music during speeches, Ben Stiller, Lily Tomlin and Meryl Streep's overlapping dialogue, John Travolta's creepy hair

There was of course glamour. Though understated. No Cher's or Bjork's this year. In terms of disasters I suppose Jennifer Lopez's strange sun goddess glow would qualify. Or that shiny shirt that Jamie Foxx wore.

The presenters included Jack Nicholson, Tom Hanks, Queen Latifah, Uma Thurman and Jessica Alba with Erica Bana (if they became a power couple, their tabloid nickname would be "Albania"). Why was Jennifer Garner a presenter? She was the only TV star to appear, as Jennifer Aniston can marginally be considered a film actress.

Even though Stewart scored and the show flowed faster than most years, the ratings will probably be low. But we knew that going in, so don't blame him. The Grammys were beat by American Idol, which also beat the Olympics. Even the Super Bowl was down this year. We cannot expect these once cherished institutions to dominate the ratings as they once did. As one columnist put it, we live in a "nation of niches." The spreading out of the Oscars among many films, none of which being blockbusters proves that.

For the predictions, I went 7 of 8 in the top categories, and 17 out of 24 for all categories. Not bad.

BEST PICTURE
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night and Good Luck
Munich

Will win: Brokeback Mountain
Potential Upset: Crash
My Pick: Crash
_________________________________________

BEST DIRECTOR
George Clooney - Good Night and Good Luck
Paul Haggis - Crash
Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain
Bennett Miller - Capote
Steven Spielberg - Munich

Will win: Ang Lee
Potential Upset: George Clooney
My Pick: Steven Spielberg
______________________________________

BEST ACTOR
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
Terrence Howard - Hustle & Flow
Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix - Walk The Line
David Strathairn - Good Night and Good Luck

Will win: Philip Seymour Hoffman
Potential Upset: Heath Ledger
My Pick: Joaquin Phoenix
_________________________________________

BEST ACTRESS
Judi Dench - Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman - Transamerica
Keira Knightly - Pride & Prejudice
Charlize Theron - North Country
Reese Witherspoon - Walk The Line

Will win: Reese Witherspoon
Potential Upset: Felicity Huffman
My Pick: Reese Witherspoon
_________________________________________

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Matt Dillon - Crash
George Clooney - Syriana
Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain
William Hurt - A History of Violence

Will win: George Clooney
Potential Upset: Paul Giamatti
My Pick: George Clooney
_________________________________________

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams - Junebug
Catherine Keener - Capote
Frances McDormand - North Country
Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain

Will win: Rachel Weisz
Potential Upset: Amy Adams
My Pick: Rachel Weisz
_________________________________________

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Match Point - Woody Allen
The Squid & The Whale - Noah Baumbach
Good Night and Good Luck - George Clooney, Grant Heslov
Syriana - Stephen Gaghan
Crash - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco

Will win: Crash
Potential Upset: Good Night and Good Luck
My Pick: Syriana
_________________________________________

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Constant Gardener - Jeffrey Caine
Capote - Dan Futterman
Munich - Tony Kushner, Eric Roth
Brokeback Mountain - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana
A History Of Violence - Josh Olson

Will win: Brokeback Mountain
Potential Upset: Capote
My Pick: Munich
_________________________________________

MUSIC (SCORE)
Brokeback Mountain
The Constant Gardener
Memoirs Of A Geisha
Munich
Pride & Prejudice

Will win: Brokeback Mountain
Potential Upset: Memoirs of a Geisha
My Pick: The Constant Gardener
_________________________________________

MUSIC (SONG)
"In the Deep" from Crash
"It's Hard Out Here For A Pimp" from Hustle & Flow
"Travelin' Thru" from Transamerica

Will win: "In The Deep" from Crash
Potential Upset: N/A
My Pick: "It's Hard Out Here For A Pimp" from Hustle & Flow

Predictions for other categories
Foreign Language Film: Tsotsi
Cinematography: Brokeback Mountain
Film Editing: Crash
Art Direction: Memoirs of a Geisha
Costume Design: Memoirs of a Geisha
Makeup: The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Sound Editing: King Kong
Sound Mixing: Walk the Line
Visual Effects: King Kong
Animated Feature Film: Howl's Moving Castle
Animated Short Film: 9
Documentary Feature: March of the Penguins
Documentary Short Subject: The Mushroom Club
Live-Action Short Film: Six Shooter