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Vendetta Ice
1st Quarter Box Office Report

April 2 - How wrong I was! A few weeks ago I was sure that V for Vendetta would become the first big movie of the year. It had everything going for it — a built-in fan base for the graphic novel, a hot, shaved Natalie Portman, the Wachowski brothers out to avenge the last two Matrix films and a massive media blitz. It opened with $25 million, earning $56 million to date. Not bad, but not great either. The film will likely not pass the $100 million mark domestically.

Whereas this weekend's No. 1 film earned nearly that much already. With a record-shattering March debut, Ice Age: Meltdown took in over $70 million. This is the biggest film of the year and I didn't see it coming. The lesson: never underestimate a sequel to an animated hit. When is Madagascar 2 coming out?

Other hits of the early year? Hovering around the $80 million range are The Pink Panther, Eight Below and Failure to Launch. Spike Lee's Inside Man also looks strong. Black guys in fat grandma costumes also working with both Big Momma's House 2 and Madea's Family Reunion debuting with $30 million a piece, earning their production budgets back in a flash.

Weekend Box Office Estimates
(March 31-April 2, 2006)
1. Ice Age 2 - $70,500,000
2. Inside Man -
$15,692,000
3. ATL -
$12,545,000
4. Failure to Launch -
$6,618,000
5. V for Vendetta -
$6,465,000

What hasn't worked so far? 16 Blocks ($35 million), Basic Instinct 2 (debuted at No. 10 this week), Larry the Cable Guy (thank God!) and Vin Diesel's attempt at real acting Find Me Guilty.